Quick Take
As 2024 approaches, the persistence and resilience of the crypto industry are becoming increasingly apparent.
Drawing lessons from traditional finance, banks and corporations have been known to navigate through hefty fines and penalties yet maintain their operations, as evidenced during the Global Financial Crash of 2008. This provides a compelling parallel, suggesting that the crypto industry, exemplified by the ongoing $4 billion Binance settlement talks with the DOJ, demonstrates a similar resilience and adaptability within current regulatory frameworks.
In the Bitcoin futures market, the U.S.-based CME exchange has overtaken Binance, reducing the influence of less regulated entities and demonstrating the evolution of the market towards a more mature and regulated state.
Meanwhile, the rise of Tether as a major stablecoin operator, managing 87 billion in supply and $72.6 billion in U.S. treasury bills, reveals the growing systemic importance of such entities. Rather than posing a threat, this evidences the increasing acceptance and integration of stablecoins, particularly in emerging economies.
The potential approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF, with Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart estimating a 90% approval chance by Jan. 10, 2024, opens up further prospects for the crypto market, promising increased institutional engagement.
Lastly, contrary to common fear, the possibility of a recession in 2024 may benefit Bitcoin. Based on historical patterns, a recession could lead to lower rates and stimulus packages, which could, in turn, boost Bitcoin prices, much like what was observed in the pandemic.
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