Since the end of the pandemic and the reopening of economies around the world, labour markets have become tighter, in the jargon.
In short, in developed economies such as Europe and the United States, there are fewer workers available.
Much of this was put down to the so-called ‘great resignation’ as workers decided, post pandemic, not to return to the world of work.
That could have been for a number of reasons, including so-called long COVID or the need to care for relatives suffering from long-term symptoms of the virus, but the biggest driver is thought to be because a number of people reappraised their lives. They decided they could afford to retire and were happy to do so.
That latter factor in particular was used to explain why, between the final three months of 2019 and the final three months of 2021, some 493,000 Britons aged 50 or over dropped out of the labour force.
Intriguingly, though, data released on Monday suggests that some of those workers may now be returning to the jobs market.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that, during the three months to the end of June, the number of people aged 65 and over in employment increased by a record 173,000. The ONS said a record 1.468 million people aged 65 and over are now in the world of work.
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It suggested this was due to a rise in part-time working and especially in “the industries where informal employment is more common, such as hospitality and arts, entertainment and recreation.”
The ONS said that, of the 173,000 older workers joining the labour force during the quarter, 85,000 were part-time employees and a further 76,000 were part-time self-employed people.
Its figures suggest that, statistically speaking, someone aged 65 or over who is still working is far more likely to be working on a part-time basis than on a full-time one.
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Accordingly, because most such workers returning to the labour force are working part time, the average number of hours typically put in by someone aged 65 or over is actually falling. Typically such workers put in between 16 and 30 hours per week.
What the ONS did not look into in this survey is why such workers are returning to the labour force in such numbers.
It is tempting to speculate that many older workers have decided that working on a part-time basis, when they can enjoy a little flexibility, is good for the soul. Many of them will have been hearing increasingly, towards the end of their careers, about the importance of work-life balance.
Another likely factor is that employers are doing more to lure back older workers by, for example, offering them flexible working.
They are also offering higher wages than previously: the ONS reported recently that, in June, one in eight businesses raised wages – and that rose to nearly one in four in those industries, such as hospitality and healthcare, where part-time working is established.
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The chances are, though, that in most cases this return to the jobs market is being driven by the cost of living crisis.
A lot of people living on fixed incomes, either occupational or state pensions, will have found that those incomes do not go as far at a time when the headline rate of inflation is more than 10%.
Others, typically those on defined contribution – ‘money purchase’ in the jargon – pensions, will have noted how their retirement savings have been eroded by this year’s reverses in the stock market and come to the conclusion that they, too, need to supplement their retirement savings.
Either way, it is a development that will be welcomed by the government, not to mention employers.
Dame Sharon White, the chair of the John Lewis Partnership, recently called on ministers to do more to encourage older workers back to the labour force in order to ease strains in the jobs market.
Dame Sharon, an economist who earlier in her career was a former senior official in HM Treasury, argued that the shortage of older workers was feeding inflation because it was creating skills shortages.
So this development will also be welcomed by the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England which, next week, is expected to vote to raise interest rates again.
